Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.490374 0.538862 0.591940 0.654695 0.727304 0.809213 0.909368
2025-10-05 0.422976 0.491767 0.573536 0.679439 0.815318 0.987215 1.226946
2025-10-12 0.382293 0.461319 0.560618 0.697760 0.887723 1.150629 1.560057
2025-10-19 0.348028 0.431520 0.540833 0.699412 0.932829 1.280878 1.878107
2025-10-26 0.315813 0.399534 0.512583 0.682896 0.945945 1.362939 2.140952
2025-11-02 0.288930 0.371499 0.485827 0.663552 0.949497 1.427755 2.391093
2025-11-09 0.267857 0.349328 0.464664 0.649070 0.957084 1.498941 2.675581
2025-11-16 0.250295 0.330523 0.446347 0.636268 0.964555 1.570135 2.985418
2025-11-23 0.235575 0.314603 0.430746 0.625667 0.973583 1.645262 3.334490
2025-11-30 0.228123 0.308733 0.429736 0.638591 1.026391 1.819417 4.017090
2025-12-07 0.217899 0.297909 0.419984 0.635349 1.047976 1.932362 4.595692
2025-12-14 0.208419 0.287568 0.410124 0.630711 1.065856 2.041216 5.232136
2025-12-21 0.195867 0.272070 0.391357 0.609284 1.048752 2.068372 5.633062
2025-12-28 0.192913 0.271452 0.397010 0.633192 1.130827 2.369901 7.371341
2026-01-04 0.188815 0.268689 0.398759 0.649860 1.200450 2.665706 9.511290
2026-01-11 0.182501 0.261918 0.393067 0.651359 1.235687 2.876682 11.582379
2026-01-18 0.174089 0.251238 0.379817 0.636420 1.229242 2.956871 13.012240
2026-01-25 0.165918 0.240558 0.365918 0.618903 1.213909 3.004459 14.341630
2026-02-01 0.158986 0.231629 0.354624 0.605776 1.207829 3.083756 16.154971
2026-02-08 0.152751 0.223589 0.344472 0.594162 1.204042 3.171852 18.342137
2026-02-15 0.147206 0.216477 0.335612 0.584537 1.204202 3.276820 21.115819
2026-02-22 0.144924 0.214818 0.336636 0.596270 1.264404 3.648203 29.091490
2026-03-01 0.140841 0.209860 0.331219 0.593327 1.283175 3.857823 36.291621